Risk of and duration of protection from SARS-CoV-2 reinfection assessed with real-world data

PLoS One. 2023 Mar 21;18(3):e0280584. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0280584. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

This retrospective observational study aimed to gain a better understanding of the protective duration of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection against reinfection. The objectives were two-fold: to assess the durability of immunity to SARS-CoV-2 reinfection among initially unvaccinated individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, and to evaluate the crude SARS-CoV-2 reinfection rate and associated risk factors. During the pandemic era time period from February 29, 2020, through April 30, 2021, 144,678,382 individuals with SARS-CoV-2 molecular diagnostic or antibody test results were studied. Rates of reinfection among index-positive individuals were compared to rates of infection among index-negative individuals. Factors associated with reinfection were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. For both objectives, the outcome was a subsequent positive molecular diagnostic test result. Consistent with prior findings, the risk of reinfection among index-positive individuals was 87% lower than the risk of infection among index-negative individuals. The duration of protection against reinfection was stable over the median 5 months and up to 1-year follow-up interval. Factors associated with an increased reinfection risk included older age, comorbid immunologic conditions, and living in congregate care settings; healthcare workers had a decreased reinfection risk. This large US population-based study suggests that infection induced immunity is durable for variants circulating pre-Delta predominance.

Publication types

  • Observational Study
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Antibodies
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Health Personnel
  • Humans
  • Reinfection / epidemiology
  • SARS-CoV-2*

Substances

  • Antibodies

Grants and funding

Aetion was funded by the National Cancer Institute to conduct this study. The funders had a role in study design, interpretation of results, decision to publish and preparation of the manuscript.